Going back to the original question… with a year’s worth of data I think I have an answer to how large a battery I want; 5.8kWh or 11.6kWh.
If anyone’s interested…
I’ve got a 6kWp set of panels ground mounted, not shaded by anything and pretty optimally aligned for spring/autumn (at least that’s what the installer said and watching the sun I think it’s the case; the rising and setting point seems to ‘swivel’ during the year which I’d not noticed before).
In ‘peak solar months’, say May-September I’ve set the battery to charge to 50% capacity between 00:30 and 04:30 (Octopus Go; 9p/unit off-peak) and I’ve set the discharge period from 04:30 to 00:30.
As the day’s shorten I increase the maximum charge to 70% then 90% and start to move the discharge period to start later in the day to make sure I’m not consuming ‘mains’ electricity during the evening peak time (to avoid contributing to demand for electricity from gas/coal), my goal is to run the battery to close to the minimum I’ve set (12% capacity) at 00:30.
So… the battery size. I went with the 5.8kWh option rather than the 11.6kWh option because of the £2.5k additional cost (total cost of my system ended up at £11k).
From about mid-march to mid October, the 5.8kWh battery has been enough to run the house so I barely use any peak time electricity (say less than £5 a month).
From mid October-mid March I’m increasingly using peak time electricity with the maximum of around £50 a month in December.
Given the recent changes from Octopus there’s now only 1p difference between my export payments (8p/unit) and the off-peak cost (9p/unit) so any saving through charging my battery with excess solar production rather than exporting it and later buying off-peak disappears ‘into the noise’.
In the longer sunny summer days the battery can go without any mains charging overnight if we don’t cook after dark.
So, for the larger battery to make sense it has to be from moving peak consumption to using off-peak electricity via the battery in the shorter days (and for ease of calculation I’d assume 100% efficiency which won’t be the case).
So… from Mid October to Mid-March I used about £180 in peak time electricity, if I could have bought this off-peak I’d have saved about £130 or so.
The battery is rated for 6000 cycles so assuming that’s one a day it’s about 16 years (which I think may be optimistic) so for £130 a year saving over 16 years it’s still less than the cost of the battery.
So that’s my conclusion; the smaller battery made more sense.
Glad I purchased the smaller battery option since it makes my ‘system’ more usable allowing me to ‘buffer’ usage during the day; e.g. if I’m charging my car with the 3kWh mains charger or using the oven/washing machine/dishwasher/tumble drier, then if a cloud blows across the sun it’ll use the battery to supplement the solar until the cloud’s gone, then it’ll return to using 100% solar and recharging the battery with the excess.
Were I buying again I’d get the same sort of system (the only difference is I’d get a miEnergy device for water heating rather than the iBoost device I have because of the data feed and potential to include a car charger!)